منابع مشابه
On Estimating Hurricane Return Periods
Interest in hurricane risk usually focuses on landfalling events of the highest intensity, which cause a disproportionate amount of hurricane-related damage. Yet assessing the long-term risk of the most intense landfalling events is problematic because there are comparatively few of them in the historical record. For this reason, return periods of the most intense storms are usually estimated b...
متن کاملReliability, return periods, and risk under nonstationarity
Water resources design has widely used the average return period as a concept to inform management and communication of the risk of experiencing an exceedance event within a planning horizon. Even though nonstationarity is often apparent, in practice hydrologic design often mistakenly assumes that the probability of exceedance, p, is constant from year to year which leads to an average return p...
متن کاملReturn periods of European winter precipitation extremes
On the variability of return periods of European winter precipitation extremes over the last five centuries A. Pauling and H. Paeth Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Hallerstrasse 12, 3012 Bern, Switzerland Meteorological Institute, University of Bonn, Auf dem Hügel 20, 53121 Bonn, Germany Received: 22 February 2006 – Accepted: 18 March 2006 – Published: 24 April 2006 Correspondence t...
متن کاملDismissing Appropriate Statistical Analysis
We are thankful to the referees Dr. Mohamad Amin Pourhoseingholi et al. and the Editor for pointing out some valuable suggestion and important notes needed in the manuscript (1). The major concern of reviewer was about the positive Hepatitis D patient (2). Due to high number of cases in our study, the prevalence of Hepatitis D is very low (3). 1) The only positive Hepatitis D is a 31 year-old w...
متن کاملEvaluate changes in wind wave height at different return periods and statistical distribution
Waves are main characteristics of seas that produce by wind. Importance of the study of waves and recognizing the wave climate in the coastal zone management that the waves are the most important influence on the design and implementation of all projects. Wave are main boundary condition in dynamic loading and structural calculations and hydraulic coastal structures. Height of waves are the mos...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
سال: 2014
ISSN: 1436-3240,1436-3259
DOI: 10.1007/s00477-014-0916-1